编辑按:作者杜新系新华社广西分社社长、高级记者。从事新华社报道工作20多年,积极倡导以区域经济新闻视角关注中国与东盟合作。著有《中国脊梁》,主编《新华社记者看M战略》、《新华社记者看CAFTA》、《南宁之路》、《诚信中国》等专著。其中"关注发展极"、"关注关联经济"、"东盟热的冷思考"等观点文章引起社会关注。2007年9月,他研究思考多年的有关东盟及区域经济合作的著作《关联经济:一种新的财富视角》一书已由新华出版社出版。
导 读
2007年3月25日,是欧洲联盟成立50周年纪念日。一个昔日并不起眼的六国集团,今天成为一个拥有27个成员国的声势浩大的欧洲联盟,其合作所促成的财富浪潮从欧洲西端一直漫卷向东欧的波罗的海国家。欧盟的财富模式令世界瞩目。类似的财富浪潮席卷世界。
世界舆论认为,区域合作中,“北北合作”已经成功,“南北合作”值得期待,以"弱弱型合作"为特征的“南南合作”前景渺茫。"穷者愈穷、富者愈富"的马太效应真的是不容改写的铁律吗?这是一个世纪命题--发展中国家的“奶酪”在哪里?
“北北合作”在理论上有着西方经济学说的强力支撑,“南北合作”也主要以其理论为依托。占世界人口80%的发展中国家的合作,不仅道路坎坷,缺乏令人鼓舞的成功例证,更为重要的是,至今缺乏理念与规律的揭示与引领,缺乏适宜发展中国家未来趋势的规律性理论!
 |
| 作者:杜新 译文:张光丽 谈熠 出版:新华出版社 2007年9月 |
第一章以"南南合作的奶酪在哪里?是贸易转移,还是贸易创造?是比较优势,还是比较劣势"等"五问",提出了关联理论关注与研究的世纪命题。
Chapter 1 : Five Centennial Questions of Relating Economy
Introduction:
European Union (EU) celebrated its 50th Anniversary on March 25,2007. EU,once a less known European Economic Community (EEC) with six member states at its beginning,now has become an overwhelming EU embracing 27 countries as its members,its great wave of wealth spreading from West Europe all the way to the countries around Baltic Sea in East Europe. EU’s great wealth pattern catches the eyes of the world people,and so do other wealth patterns in the world.
According to the public opinion of the world,North-North Cooperation (NN Cooperation) has been successful as a regional cooperation,and North-South (NS) Cooperation is performing well and has a bright tomorrow,while South-South (SS) Cooperation,with its nature of “weak-weak cooperation”,shows an unclear future. So we may ask that the Matthew Effect that the rich get richer and the poor get poorer is really an unchangeable law? Where to find the cheese or wealth for the developing countries? -This is the proposition of this century.
It is evident that NN Cooperation is based on its strong Western economic theories,and the same is true with NS Cooperation;whereas SS Cooperation is a cooperation of developing countries,with a total population accounting for 80% of the world. Besides a lack of successful examples on its hard developing way to bring confidence to all members,it is in urgent need of creation and guideline by theories and laws,which will help decide the future of developing countries.
In Chapter 1,the century proposition concerned by the Relating Theory is put forward,based on the five questions such as:Where is the cheese for SouthSouth Cooperation? Shall we choose the way of trade diversion or the way of trade creation? Shall we focus on comparative advantages of the member states or comparative disadvantages?
“南南合作”的“奶酪”在哪里?
摘要:欧盟的财富模式令世界瞩目。类似的财富浪潮席卷世界。世界舆论认为,区域合作中,“北北合作”已经成功,“南北合作”值得期待,以“弱弱型”合作为特征的“南南合作”前景渺茫。“穷者愈穷、富者愈富”的马太效应真的是不容改写的铁律吗?这是一个世纪命题——发展中国家的“奶酪”在哪里? 延伸阅读>>>>
Where is the “Cheese” for South-South Cooperation?
Abstract:EU’s great wealth pattern catches the eyes of the world people,and so do other wealth patterns in the world. According to the public opinion of the world,NN Cooperation has been successful as a regional cooperation,and NS Cooperation is performing well and has a bright tomorrow,while SS Cooperation,with its nature of “weak-weak cooperation”,shows an unclear future. So we may ask that the Matthew Effect that the rich get richer and the poor get poorer is really an unchangeable law? Where to find the cheese or wealth for developing countries?-This is the proposition of this century.
是贸易转移,还是贸易创造?
摘要:放眼全球,在区域经济浪潮中还有哪些国家能够在贸易转移效应中置身度外?贸易转移效应犹如区域合作的双面刃;中国—东盟贸易合作能否趋利避害? 延伸阅读>>>>
The Way of Trade Diversion or the Way of Trade Creation?
Abstract: Are there any countries which can escape the trade diversion effect in regional economic waves in today’s world? Trade diversion effect is a double-edged sword in regional economic cooperation,then how can China-ASEAN trade cooperation win more at the minimum loss?
是比较优势,还是比较劣势?
摘要:发展中国家无需无视自身合作所具有的比较劣势特征,重要的是,如何在“弱弱型合作”中找到比较优势,锁定后发优势途径。中国与东盟之间尚未建立密切的产业分工;需要确立从比较优势到后发优势的关联视角;比较优势的关联视角就在更广阔的合作领域里。 延伸阅读>>>>
Comparative Advantages or Comparative Disadvantages?
Abstract:The developing countries need not try to neglect their comparative disadvantage characters. Instead what is the most important thing for them is to find the comparative advantage in Weak-Weak Cooperation so as to choose the late-development advantage pattern. Since there is no frequent industry division between China and ASEAN,it is necessary to adopt a relating perspective of comparative advantage and then late-development advantage,and where there is a wider cooperation space,where the relating perspective of comparative advantage exists.
东盟与中国,对世界意味着什么?
摘要:东盟对世界意味着什么?中国与世界如何在关联?摩根士丹利首席经济学家:谁能忽视中国市场?世界经济格局的优化有多少中国因素?“南南合作”就是“弱弱合作”,“弱弱合作”难以成功的论断或许就此被遏止! 延伸阅读>>>>
What implication does the process of CAFTA’s construction have for the world?
Abstract: What does ASEAN mean to the world? How does China related the world? Who can neglect Chinese market? And how does China take part in the optimizing of the world economic pattern? The latter two questions were asked by the chief economists of Morgan Stanley & Co. Though South-South cooperation is actually a “Weak-Weak Cooperation”,it is possible for us to challenge the theory of unsuccessfulness of “Weak-Weak Cooperation”.
“小鹿”与“大象”,能否和谐共舞?
摘要:新加坡前总理吴作栋曾说,中国和东盟国家是在一个森林里生活的大象和小鹿。东盟好比可爱的小鹿,要学会同中国大象共舞。中国领导人说,中国奉行“睦邻、安邻、富邻”的外交政策。“大象”,以独特魅力吸引着“舞伴”;舞步,因为智慧而优美;美丽天使以智慧踏准探戈的节奏;舞步,旋向和谐共赢。 延伸阅读>>>>
Can the “little deer” dance in harmony with the “giant elephant”?
Abstract: Goh Chok Tong,the former Prime Minister of Singapore once said that China is like a big elephant and ASEAN is like a deer. Living in the same forest,the lovely deer is learning to dance together with the elephant. As Chinese leaders said,China follows the foreign policy of “Good,Safe and Rich Neighborliness”,so China,the elephant,is now attracting its partners in a unique style. We believe the dancers to have elegant pas for their wisdom;the beautiful dancers are matched well in Tango music for their wisdom;and their pas are toward harmonious and a win-win future.
中英双文:《关联经济》第一章 世纪命题 关联五问
Relating Economy Chapter 1: Five Centennial Questions of Relating Economy
中英双文:《关联经济》第二章 发现新加坡
Relating Economy Chapter 2: Discovering Singapore
中英双文:《关联经济》第三章 关联经济原理
Relating Economy Chapter 3: The Theory of Relating Economy
中英双文:《关联经济》第四章 实证与反证
Relating Economy Chapter4: Substantial Evidence and Counterevidence
更多内容,欢迎访问“读书”栏目
(全文见《关联经济:一种新的财富视角》,杜新著,新华出版社,2007年9月。)